There is much stupidity in this thread.
1. First off, your chances of defeating someone doesn't drop after losing to them. If Faber has a 40% chance of victory then he ALWAYS has a 40% chance of victory. It doesn't go down to 10% or whatever with every lost, where the hell are you people getting this? If I flip a coin and it comes up heads three times in a row, if I flip it a fourth time it still has a 50/50 chance of coming up heads.
2. This is directed at the TS, not calling you stupid though but just answering your post. No, Rich Franklin can NOT defeat Silva. Faber has a really good chance against Brown. Faber is just unlucky enough to have fought the first and third fights of a rubber match back to back

. But he can definitely win, it's just that he had an unfortunate hand break in the second fight, and the first fight was too close to call after that punch. But people just don't like to see a third fight if it's not a rubber match except Herring vs. Nog and Rampage vs. Wanderlei, and in THOSE third fights, Rampage won, and Herring got REALLY close to beating Nog.