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Old 05-30-2008, 07:03 PM   #31 (permalink)

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Parlays are a rip-off, mathematically. unless they make a mistake with the odds you might as well lay separate bets. If you believe the odds then you're getting paid what you risk (minus the 4.54% juice).

A long time ago I used to do NFL picks for someone and they would always try to convince me what a great deal this 3 bet parlay was. I tried to explain it to him but he kept telling me --- 'but they pay 5:1'. I'm like dude, you're picking 3 teams who's odds, when MULTIPLIED equal 8:1 --- that's like getting taken for 37% of your money. Didn't matter --- he still wanted to do it.
People who make blanket statements about any one time of bet are stupid. I made money on a Penn/Machida parlay over the weekend. Penn was -250 and Machida was -200. Just because your friend is a fucking idiot and makes the wrong choices doesn't mean everyone else does. There are numerous times where a parlay is smarter than a straight bet especially in MMA where odds are usually heavy on the favorite. If you want to make serious money and don't want to just get lucky betting on a dog you need to parlay sometimes in MMA. This is an example betting 1800 on Machida/Penn made you 2000 but betting 900 on each separately wouldn't have even have made you 1000 which wouldn't even be worth the risk.
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Old 05-31-2008, 12:02 AM   #32 (permalink)

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Well ive been doing tons of research the past few days and this is what i concluded jersey, if you want to put someone in a parlay with kimbo i definantly would recommend brett rogers. He seems by far the best bet, Lawler IMO has a way better chance of getting upset in just the way the 2 fight, it takes a lot to get smith down and i could see an early KO for Smith. Id definantly take Kimbo and Rogers. I believe that bet you get 90 for each 100 but im not sure and adding in Faber might help but i dont know much about Pulver other than hes fought way tougher opponents that Faber. Good luck, im parlaying only brett rogers and kimbo slice and im doing a single bet on Villasenor, i dont think its worth putting that into a parlay, too risk IMO.
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Old 05-31-2008, 01:01 AM   #33 (permalink)

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I completely agree with the Rogers/Kimbo Parlay. In fact I have that as my largest bet. But I also parlayed Lawler/Slice, and Lawler/Rogers. I just think Lawler is going to be too much for Smith. And Lawlers defense has become much tighter as of late. I also have single bets on Young and Joey V.

By the way, did anyone else cleane up on Penn last week...EASY MONEY.
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Old 05-31-2008, 01:07 AM   #34 (permalink)

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im telling you now JT wins ....bet it and you will win$$$

I agree, I would also bet Young KO's Carano
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Old 05-31-2008, 08:57 AM   #35 (permalink)
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OMG , insane Kimbo is - 550 already , not sure if I wanna touch this even tho I dont know how James is going to win this .
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Old 05-31-2008, 08:59 AM   #36 (permalink)
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Sat 5/31 157 Thompson/Slice goes 1:00 round 1 -125
10:00PM (EST) 158 Fight won't go 1:00 round 1 -105

Sat 5/31 303 Villasenor/Baroni goes distance +157
9:00PM (EST) 304 Fight won't go distance -200


I have a feeling Baroni fight cant go to the distance , either he will gas and Joe finishes him or Baroni catches him for a quick KO .
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Old 05-31-2008, 10:52 AM   #37 (permalink)

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Faber + Kimbo + Rogers would pay 116 $ for every 100 $ wagered . I think this is a good deal but maybe Rogers should be replaced with Lawler .
Murphy is going to knock Rogers out.
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Old 05-31-2008, 10:53 AM   #38 (permalink)

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I completely agree with the Rogers/Kimbo Parlay. In fact I have that as my largest bet. But I also parlayed Lawler/Slice, and Lawler/Rogers. I just think Lawler is going to be too much for Smith. And Lawlers defense has become much tighter as of late. I also have single bets on Young and Joey V.

By the way, did anyone else cleane up on Penn last week...EASY MONEY.
What makes you think Rogers is such a safe bet??
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Old 05-31-2008, 10:54 AM   #39 (permalink)
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Think I am gonna skip this Rogers bet . Rather do Kimbo + Lawler + Faber .
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Old 05-31-2008, 11:06 AM   #40 (permalink)
 
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Don't bet on this , the odds aren't good enough to kill it.
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