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05-10-2008, 08:05 PM
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#1 (permalink)
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Brown Belt
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According to my calculations, Obama needs 76% of the remaining delegates to win
Edit: WTf is up with this font?
According to CNN, 2025 are needed to win. Obama has 1862 right now, so he needs 163 more. Right now there are 217 more delegates up for grabs, so Obama needs about 76% of the remaining delegates to secure the nomination. To put things in perspective, Obama got 53.5% of the votes last Tuesday. This is small to the 44 point lead Hillary has in WV according to the latest polls from the American Research Group ( 66 to 23).
Edit:
Quote:
Originally Posted by jb41339
Yeah bro, your math is way off because you don't count the uncommitted superdelegates. True, there's only 217 elected delegates left, but there are also 207.5 uncommitted superdelegates left. That means of the 424.5 total delegates left out there, he needs 163 of them. Hillary would need somewhere around 330 of them, meaning even if every uncommitted superdelegate swung her way, she'd still need to win all the remaining primaries by 60/40. Maybe 65/35. Some crazy margin anyway, one she won't get.
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While is it mathematically impossible to Hillary to win, it is very possible to make it mathematically impossible for Obama to win. Yet the media has decided to report Obama has won for attention and profit$:
Time Russert: "We now know who the Democratic Nominee Will Be"
YouTube - Tim Russert - 'The Nominee'
I don't like Hillary, but I hate the journalistic integrity the media sacrifices just to get attention. I really wish they would tell the whole story of whats going on and let us decide who to vote for. It is very easy to let this slide right now because it is Hillary and Obama, but I'm sure many of you were pretty upset when the media had this sort of attitude towards Ron Paul.
If it goes to the DNC, the nominee will be decided at the DNC behind closed doors by the delegates. And behind closed doors is what Hillary does best. Hillary is much better at power, corruption, connections, and intimidation than Obama is. I say Obama has a lot of work to do, even Obama admits that there is a lot of work to do and that for the remaining states, the delegates will be split some what evenly:
Obama on Wolf Blitzer:
YouTube - Barack Obama First Interview Since North Carolina pt.1
I believe Hillary knows what she's doing by staying in the race. Her desire for power rivals any NeoCon, many even consider her a NeoCon.
/rant
__________________
Ron Paul for president
http://youtube.com/watch?v=8BB3NrSpRGE
n8liv68h9
Last edited by stylesbjj : 05-10-2008 at 09:00 PM.
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05-10-2008, 08:10 PM
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#2 (permalink)
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Green Belt
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Ugh, you really should read up on the system before making retarded calculations like that.
__________________
"wait is it againt the law to pee on girls" - smasheroffaces
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05-10-2008, 08:10 PM
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#3 (permalink)
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Banned
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the difference is, that hilary clinton has to convince super delegates to take away the nomination from the man who leads in popular vote, states won and delegates won and to do that would be UNDEMOCRATIC and there will be riots at the dnc if they do that
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05-10-2008, 08:12 PM
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#4 (permalink)
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Brown Belt
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Quote:
Originally Posted by NoFreeSpeech
Ugh, you really should read up on the system before making retarded calculations like that.
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Well, if there's something wrong, give a correction and I'll edit my post.
Quote:
Originally Posted by GOD_OF_MUAYTHAI
the difference is, that hilary clinton has to convince super delegates to take away the nomination from the man who leads in popular vote, states won and delegates won and to do that would be UNDEMOCRATIC and there will be riots at the dnc if they do that
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Hopefully this is unlikely, but keep in mind these delegates are politicians. I don't know them.
__________________
Ron Paul for president
http://youtube.com/watch?v=8BB3NrSpRGE
n8liv68h9
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05-10-2008, 08:19 PM
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#5 (permalink)
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Banned
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Quote:
Originally Posted by stylesbjj
Well, if there's something wrong, give a correction and I'll edit my post.
Hopefully this is unlikely, but keep in mind these delegates are politicians. I don't know them.
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thats what they mean when obama is the presumptive nominee, the idea the super delegates would give it to hilary is insane and undemocratic, the problem with the clintons, is they think they are entitled to the nomination by "divine right" and lord knows how long they have been planning to run for president. she won the senate in 2000, the same year bill left office, and she figured that 8 years in the senate in ny would gurantee her the nomination...the problem was she never forsaw obama coming out, she never planned beyond super tuesday and thats why her campaign collapsed.she is doing everything she can to win because say obama wins in 08 (most likely) the next time she could run would be 2016 and by then she would be around the same age as mcCain, and trust me, we dont need a senile old lady for president. she needs to understand that nothing in a democracy is a lock and except that there is no royalty in politics and no one is entitled to anything except what the voters allow and she should drop out and stop playing the race card
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05-10-2008, 08:28 PM
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#6 (permalink)
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Green Belt
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Quote:
Originally Posted by stylesbjj
According to CNN, 2025 are needed to win. Obama has 1862 right now, so he needs 163 more. Right now there are 217 more delegates up for grabs, so Obama needs about 76% of the remaining delegates to secure the nomination.
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Yeah bro, your math is way off because you don't count the uncommitted superdelegates. True, there's only 217 elected delegates left, but there are also 207.5 uncommitted superdelegates left. That means of the 424.5 total delegates left out there, he needs 163 of them. Hillary would need somewhere around 330 of them, meaning even if every uncommitted superdelegate swung her way, she'd still need to win all the remaining primaries by 60/40. Maybe 65/35. Some crazy margin anyway, one she won't get.
__________________
We train young men to drop fire on people. But their commanders won't allow them to write "fuck" on their airplanes because it's obscene!
LPC 21656
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05-10-2008, 08:59 PM
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#7 (permalink)
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Brown Belt
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jb41339
Yeah bro, your math is way off because you don't count the uncommitted superdelegates. True, there's only 217 elected delegates left, but there are also 207.5 uncommitted superdelegates left. That means of the 424.5 total delegates left out there, he needs 163 of them. Hillary would need somewhere around 330 of them, meaning even if every uncommitted superdelegate swung her way, she'd still need to win all the remaining primaries by 60/40. Maybe 65/35. Some crazy margin anyway, one she won't get.
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whoops
__________________
Ron Paul for president
http://youtube.com/watch?v=8BB3NrSpRGE
n8liv68h9
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05-10-2008, 09:48 PM
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#8 (permalink)
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Manteca, California |
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Which means with Hillary at 1600 and 200 delegates just to get to the 1800 mark that Obama already is at?
She'd need what?
300% of the Superdelegates to win?
__________________
"If you don't shut up, I'm gonna take to the back and screw ya!" - Lewellen
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05-10-2008, 10:08 PM
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#9 (permalink)
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Committing senseless acts of Ashvamedha
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It's a HUGE CONSPIRACY!!!!
Oh wait, no actually your math is wrong.
__________________
...he glows with a bright light!
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05-10-2008, 10:46 PM
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#10 (permalink)
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Orange Belt
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Quote:
Originally Posted by stylesbjj
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LMAO, at first I thought this was a photoshop.
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