Save
Random Shot: 
 

Welcome to the Sherdog Mixed Martial Arts Forums forums.

You are currently viewing our boards as a guest which gives you limited access to view most discussions and access our other features. By joining our free community you will have access to post topics, communicate privately with other members (PM), respond to polls, upload content and access many other special features. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free so please, join our community today!

If you have any problems with the registration process or your account login, please contact contact us.

 

Go Back  Sherdog Mixed Martial Arts Forums > General Discussion > The War Room > According to my calculations, Obama needs 76% of the remaining delegates to win

Reply
 
Sherdog Forums
LinkBack Thread Tools Search this Thread
Old 05-10-2008, 08:05 PM   #1 (permalink)

Brown Belt
 
stylesbjj's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2007
Posts: 3,504
Status: stylesbjj is offline
According to my calculations, Obama needs 76% of the remaining delegates to win

Edit: WTf is up with this font?

According to CNN, 2025 are needed to win. Obama has 1862 right now, so he needs 163 more. Right now there are 217 more delegates up for grabs, so Obama needs about 76% of the remaining delegates to secure the nomination. To put things in perspective, Obama got 53.5% of the votes last Tuesday. This is small to the 44 point lead Hillary has in WV according to the latest polls from the American Research Group ( 66 to 23).

Edit:
Quote:
Originally Posted by jb41339 View Post
Yeah bro, your math is way off because you don't count the uncommitted superdelegates. True, there's only 217 elected delegates left, but there are also 207.5 uncommitted superdelegates left. That means of the 424.5 total delegates left out there, he needs 163 of them. Hillary would need somewhere around 330 of them, meaning even if every uncommitted superdelegate swung her way, she'd still need to win all the remaining primaries by 60/40. Maybe 65/35. Some crazy margin anyway, one she won't get.

While is it mathematically impossible to Hillary to win, it is very possible to make it mathematically impossible for Obama to win. Yet the media has decided to report Obama has won for attention and profit$:



Time Russert: "We now know who the Democratic Nominee Will Be"
YouTube - Tim Russert - 'The Nominee'

I don't like Hillary, but I hate the journalistic integrity the media sacrifices just to get attention. I really wish they would tell the whole story of whats going on and let us decide who to vote for. It is very easy to let this slide right now because it is Hillary and Obama, but I'm sure many of you were pretty upset when the media had this sort of attitude towards Ron Paul.

If it goes to the DNC, the nominee will be decided at the DNC behind closed doors by the delegates. And behind closed doors is what Hillary does best. Hillary is much better at power, corruption, connections, and intimidation than Obama is. I say Obama has a lot of work to do, even Obama admits that there is a lot of work to do and that for the remaining states, the delegates will be split some what evenly:

Obama on Wolf Blitzer:
YouTube - Barack Obama First Interview Since North Carolina pt.1

I believe Hillary knows what she's doing by staying in the race. Her desire for power rivals any NeoCon, many even consider her a NeoCon.

/rant
__________________
Ron Paul for president
http://youtube.com/watch?v=8BB3NrSpRGE

n8liv68h9

Last edited by stylesbjj : 05-10-2008 at 09:00 PM.
stylesbjj is offline  | 
 
   
Reply With Quote

Old 05-10-2008, 08:10 PM   #2 (permalink)

Green Belt
 
Join Date: Oct 2007
Posts: 1,189
Status: NoFreeSpeech is offline
Ugh, you really should read up on the system before making retarded calculations like that.
__________________
"wait is it againt the law to pee on girls" - smasheroffaces
NoFreeSpeech is offline  | 
 
   
Reply With Quote
Old 05-10-2008, 08:10 PM   #3 (permalink)
Banned
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: Chicago
Posts: 1,990
Status: GOD_OF_MUAYTHAI is offline
the difference is, that hilary clinton has to convince super delegates to take away the nomination from the man who leads in popular vote, states won and delegates won and to do that would be UNDEMOCRATIC and there will be riots at the dnc if they do that
GOD_OF_MUAYTHAI is offline  | 
 
   
Reply With Quote
Old 05-10-2008, 08:12 PM   #4 (permalink)

Brown Belt
 
stylesbjj's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2007
Posts: 3,504
Status: stylesbjj is offline
Quote:
Originally Posted by NoFreeSpeech View Post
Ugh, you really should read up on the system before making retarded calculations like that.
Well, if there's something wrong, give a correction and I'll edit my post.

Quote:
Originally Posted by GOD_OF_MUAYTHAI View Post
the difference is, that hilary clinton has to convince super delegates to take away the nomination from the man who leads in popular vote, states won and delegates won and to do that would be UNDEMOCRATIC and there will be riots at the dnc if they do that
Hopefully this is unlikely, but keep in mind these delegates are politicians. I don't know them.
__________________
Ron Paul for president
http://youtube.com/watch?v=8BB3NrSpRGE

n8liv68h9
stylesbjj is offline  | 
 
   
Reply With Quote
Old 05-10-2008, 08:19 PM   #5 (permalink)
Banned
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: Chicago
Posts: 1,990
Status: GOD_OF_MUAYTHAI is offline
Quote:
Originally Posted by stylesbjj View Post
Well, if there's something wrong, give a correction and I'll edit my post.



Hopefully this is unlikely, but keep in mind these delegates are politicians. I don't know them.
thats what they mean when obama is the presumptive nominee, the idea the super delegates would give it to hilary is insane and undemocratic, the problem with the clintons, is they think they are entitled to the nomination by "divine right" and lord knows how long they have been planning to run for president. she won the senate in 2000, the same year bill left office, and she figured that 8 years in the senate in ny would gurantee her the nomination...the problem was she never forsaw obama coming out, she never planned beyond super tuesday and thats why her campaign collapsed.she is doing everything she can to win because say obama wins in 08 (most likely) the next time she could run would be 2016 and by then she would be around the same age as mcCain, and trust me, we dont need a senile old lady for president. she needs to understand that nothing in a democracy is a lock and except that there is no royalty in politics and no one is entitled to anything except what the voters allow and she should drop out and stop playing the race card
GOD_OF_MUAYTHAI is offline  | 
 
   
Reply With Quote
Old 05-10-2008, 08:28 PM   #6 (permalink)

Green Belt
 
jb41339's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Cane-tuck-ee
Posts: 1,276
Status: jb41339 is offline
Quote:
Originally Posted by stylesbjj View Post
According to CNN, 2025 are needed to win. Obama has 1862 right now, so he needs 163 more. Right now there are 217 more delegates up for grabs, so Obama needs about 76% of the remaining delegates to secure the nomination.
Yeah bro, your math is way off because you don't count the uncommitted superdelegates. True, there's only 217 elected delegates left, but there are also 207.5 uncommitted superdelegates left. That means of the 424.5 total delegates left out there, he needs 163 of them. Hillary would need somewhere around 330 of them, meaning even if every uncommitted superdelegate swung her way, she'd still need to win all the remaining primaries by 60/40. Maybe 65/35. Some crazy margin anyway, one she won't get.
__________________
We train young men to drop fire on people. But their commanders won't allow them to write "fuck" on their airplanes because it's obscene!

LPC 21656
jb41339 is offline  | 
 
   
Reply With Quote
Old 05-10-2008, 08:59 PM   #7 (permalink)

Brown Belt
 
stylesbjj's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2007
Posts: 3,504
Status: stylesbjj is offline
Quote:
Originally Posted by jb41339 View Post
Yeah bro, your math is way off because you don't count the uncommitted superdelegates. True, there's only 217 elected delegates left, but there are also 207.5 uncommitted superdelegates left. That means of the 424.5 total delegates left out there, he needs 163 of them. Hillary would need somewhere around 330 of them, meaning even if every uncommitted superdelegate swung her way, she'd still need to win all the remaining primaries by 60/40. Maybe 65/35. Some crazy margin anyway, one she won't get.
whoops
__________________
Ron Paul for president
http://youtube.com/watch?v=8BB3NrSpRGE

n8liv68h9
stylesbjj is offline  | 
 
   
Reply With Quote
Old 05-10-2008, 09:48 PM   #8 (permalink)
 
Join Date: Feb 2008
Location: Manteca, California
Posts: 1,250
Status: RemoWilliams is offline
Which means with Hillary at 1600 and 200 delegates just to get to the 1800 mark that Obama already is at?

She'd need what?

300% of the Superdelegates to win?
__________________
"If you don't shut up, I'm gonna take to the back and screw ya!" - Lewellen
RemoWilliams is offline  | 
 
   
Reply With Quote
Old 05-10-2008, 10:08 PM   #9 (permalink)
Committing senseless acts of Ashvamedha
 
Zankou's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2004
Location: Los Angeles
Posts: 12,772
Status: Zankou is offline
It's a HUGE CONSPIRACY!!!!








Oh wait, no actually your math is wrong.
__________________
...he glows with a bright light!
Zankou is offline  | 
 
   
Reply With Quote
Old 05-10-2008, 10:46 PM   #10 (permalink)

Orange Belt
 
Turban Capote's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2008
Posts: 301
Status: Turban Capote is offline
Quote:
Originally Posted by stylesbjj View Post


LMAO, at first I thought this was a photoshop.
Turban Capote is offline  | 
 
   
Reply With Quote

Reply



Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are On
Pingbacks are On
Refbacks are On

Similar Threads
Thread Thread Starter Forum Replies Last Post
Who gets a LHW title shot if they win - Chuck, Jardine, Machida, Rashad, or Shogun? AC Slater The Heavyweights: UFC and WEC 296 05-21-2008 11:30 AM
In Terms of Legacy, what does a win do for Liddell at UFC 85? DeanFilkins The Heavyweights: UFC and WEC 35 02-07-2008 11:41 AM
Fedor Germa-rican The Wasteland 14 02-06-2008 01:04 PM
What are your thoughts on Rankings based heavily on recent performances? prs The Heavyweights: UFC and WEC 0 01-27-2008 02:00 PM
Matt Hughes overrated? thaicurrysquash The Heavyweights: UFC and WEC 67 10-03-2007 03:34 AM


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 03:39 PM.


Powered by vBulletin Version {1. Copyright ©2000 - 2008, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
Copyright © 2008 Sherdog.com | Privacy Policy | Click here to advertise on Sherdog