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04-28-2008, 07:31 PM
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#1 (permalink)
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Red Belt
Join Date: Jan 2007
Location: SLC
Posts: 8,160
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100 square miles of Solar power = powering the US
Why don't we do this? I heard the constraint (besides heavy lobbying action by current utilities and industries) is steam-turbines, which are used in almost all power plants regardless of medium. So...
I'm confused why this doesn't get more press.
Power From The Sunbaked Desert
(hyperlinks to the sources from this are available at the actual source)
92 Miles Sq. of Solar Could Power the USA | EcoGeek
Solar Company Says Its Tech Can Power 90 Percent of Grid and Cars | Wired Science from Wired.com
Quote:
Solar-power-plant company Ausra has released a paper claiming that solar-thermal electric technology can provide 90 percent of U.S. grid electricity, with enough left over to power a fleet of plug-in electric vehicles. The company estimates that such a changeover would eliminate 40 percent of the country's greenhouse gas emissions with a land footprint of 9,600 square miles, about the size of Vermont (thanks, Kent).
The key to the scenario, however, is developing the ability to store energy for 16 hours, thus creating a stable power source through cloudy periods and the night, a feat that has so far eluded engineers.
"If we can do storage," Ausra CEO Bob Fishman said, "We can take on coal."
The paper says Ausra expects to commercialize its energy-storage technology within two years. A prototype of the system will go into a model plant the company plans to finish this summer in Bakersfield, California, the company's founder, David Mills, told Wired.com.
The new research (.pdf) was presented at the IEA SolarPACES conference in Las Vegas, and is described as peer-reviewed.
Solar-thermal power is gaining adherents, including Google.org, which cut a deal with another player, eSolar, as a way to cleanly generate cost-competitive, city-scale amounts of power. Unlike traditional photovoltaics, which use panels to convert sunlight into electricity, solar-thermal plants focus the sun's rays on liquids to make steam that powers turbines. Solar-thermal is flat-out more efficient -- at 20 to 40 percent -- than photovoltaics, which in the field convert sunlight to electricity at about 15 to 22 percent. And solar-thermal fits into the industrial model of power production, meaning that it works in big plants, not distributed across a bunch of houses and buildings.
Mills' paper reveals some interesting statistics about the construction cost of solar-thermal technologies: $3,000 per kilowatt of capacity, but estimated to drop to $1,500 per kW over the next "several" years. The New York Times last year quoted GE Energy executives giving construction costs for coal plants at $2,000 to $3,000 per kilowatt.
Ausra says it can generate electricity for 10 cents a kilowatt hour, which is close to the cost of natural gas, and it expects the price to drop even further. The company has received a lot of attention because of its compact linear Fresnel-reflector technology, and because it lined up two big-name VCs early: Vinod Khosla and Kleiner Perkins, where Al Gore is a partner. It's received $43 million in venture capital, and an additional $30 million at least in venture debt. It's planning a $100 million-to-150 million funding round later this year.
Ausra, for now, sells power to utilities. In total, it's announced a real commitment for 1,500 177 megawatts of solar power deployments from California's Pacific Gas & Electric, and Fishman says the company has several thousand more megawatts of deals in the pipeline. A recent deal between a different solar player, Abengoa, and Arizona Public Services, for a 280-megawatt plant had the following terms: 30 years, $4 billion.
Still, there are reasons to be skeptical. For one, companies have been piling into the solar-concentrating space. Stirling Energy Systems, SkyFuel, Solel, BrightSource, Rocketdyne, Abengoa and the aforementioned eSolar are all working on using mirrors to concentrate the sun's energy in one way or another. That's a lot of competition for a still-small chunk of the energy business.
Perhaps a more fundamental question is: Can all these prospective plants actually get built? Conceptually, solar thermal is a real bright spot in an otherwise depressing renewable-energy landscape, but until there are dozens of functional plants, it will be hard to know what kind of engineering costs these facilities are going to run into. And that's assuming that the storage technologies being discussed turn out to work. There's a long road from a prototype plant in Bakersfield to providing 90 percent of the nation's electric needs. For one, the nation's electricity-transmission infrastructure would have to change considerably as well, but that's a topic for another post.
Jeremy Carl, a research fellow in Stanford's Program on Energy and Sustainable Development, and a noted sane proponent of cleanish coal, saw scaling up the solar thermal plants as the major problem.
"In the time frame we have it is incredibly difficult to scale these sorts of new technologies up to the point where it becomes meaningful to the global energy system," Carl wrote in an e-mail to Wired.com. "There are always shortages of engineers who understand the technology, systems integrators, people to build components, etc."
Other environmental groups, however, level the same criticism at carbon capture and sequestration, which aims to trap carbon dioxide emissions from coal burning and bury them underground.
[POTENTIAL PROBLEM] Carl also questioned whether or not the solar-thermal plants could approach the 100 percent reliability that grid-electricity users have come to expect.
"The Tesla guys are finding out the hard way that 99 percent reliability is not acceptable in a consumer mass-market product like a car," Carl said. "The same is even more true for power sources."
In the near term, these companies will be feeding off states in the southwestern United States that have built solar requirements into their renewable energy dictums. Nevada, Arizona, New Mexico and Colorado all require between 15 and 20 percent of their power to come from solar sources. Solar-thermal is the only technology that could realistically deliver that type of power. Any sort of system that puts a price on emitting carbon dioxide -- either a carbon tax or a cap-and-trade framework -- would be helpful because it would penalize coal and aid cleaner technologies.
Ultimately, though, these companies want to dominate the grid. As Mills wrote in the paper, solar-thermal "is probably the only currently available technology which can be considered for a globally dominant role in the electricity sector over the next 40 years." To achieve a dominant role globally, including China and India in the picture, they'll have to fulfill Google's dream of making RE < C, i.e., making renewable energy less expensive than coal.
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"Only so long as men are deceived...there are crimes." - Bakker.
Akuma Kanji "jesus - it's like listening to a shitfaced drunk try to explain Inception scene by scene."
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04-28-2008, 07:37 PM
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#2 (permalink)
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Banned
Join Date: Apr 2008
Location: center of america
Posts: 2,458
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solar doesnt work on cloudy days. better hope for some reason the weather goes bad for a month.
also, how much would this cost.
3rd. would environmentalists let us do this. i'm sure 92 miles covers a lot of "important" ecosystems for sand mites and such. so i'm sure the enviro's wouldnt allow this to happen.
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04-28-2008, 07:51 PM
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#3 (permalink)
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Black Belt
Join Date: Jul 2002
Location: The Combination Pizza Hut and Taco Bell
Posts: 6,676
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BadassHo
solar doesnt work on cloudy days. better hope for some reason the weather goes bad for a month.
also, how much would this cost.
3rd. would environmentalists let us do this. i'm sure 92 miles covers a lot of "important" ecosystems for sand mites and such. so i'm sure the enviro's wouldnt allow this to happen.
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I think environmentalists like green energy sources like solar power, and it doesn't have to cover up 92 miles of uninhabited wildlife areas. Berlin, apprantly, already has solar panels on the roofs of pretty much all their buildings.
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Helio Gracie must be rolling in his grave.
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04-28-2008, 07:57 PM
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#4 (permalink)
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Gold Belt
Join Date: Aug 2004
Location: N.J
Posts: 23,457
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Steve Dougson
I think environmentalists like green energy sources like solar power, and it doesn't have to cover up 92 miles of uninhabited wildlife areas. Berlin, apprantly, already has solar panels on the roofs of pretty much all their buildings.
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Yep, thats the key, to get these solar setups on houses throughout the South, where the weather is mainly dry and the sky is clear.
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04-28-2008, 08:09 PM
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#5 (permalink)
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Female oil checking = AWESOMENESS!!!!!
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Look at my post count! Make a guess!
Posts: 15,173
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Stefan Struve and Kendall Grove are the counter-arguments that make the argument that Jon Jones is great only because of his reach a fallacy.
Last edited by Rematch; 04-28-2008 at 08:11 PM.
Reason: Reconsidering
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04-28-2008, 08:16 PM
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#6 (permalink)
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Black Belt
Join Date: Oct 2007
Posts: 5,164
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Do a search, this exact same article has been posted.
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04-28-2008, 08:22 PM
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#7 (permalink)
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MSgt. Mack "Dirt Diver" Gerhardt
Join Date: Sep 2002
Location: Ft. Griffith, MO
Posts: 8,578
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Steve Dougson
I think environmentalists like green energy sources like solar power, and it doesn't have to cover up 92 miles of uninhabited wildlife areas. Berlin, apprantly, already has solar panels on the roofs of pretty much all their buildings.
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There is always some group of environmentalsits somewhere that will pitch a fit. I have seen opponents of wind turbines complain about them endangering birds.
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Disciple of the Realpolitik
Women should dress in white like all other domestic appliances.-- Bernie Ecclestone
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04-28-2008, 08:24 PM
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#8 (permalink)
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Blue Belt
Join Date: Jan 2007
Location: NC
Posts: 737
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Quote:
Solar Panels to Blanket Southern California's Commercial Roofs
FONTANA, California, March 27, 2008 (ENS) - The largest rooftop solar installation project ever proposed by a U.S. utility was announced today on the rooftop of ProLogis in Fontana by Southern California Edison officials joined by California Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger.
The project will place 250 megawatts of advanced photovoltaic generating technology on 65 million square feet of commercial rooftops in Southern California. ProLogis, the world's largest owner, manager and developer of distribution facilities, will lease the roof space to the utility.
"This project will turn two square miles of unused commercial rooftops into advanced solar generating stations," said John Bryson, Edison International chairman and chief executive. "We hope to have the first solar rooftops in service by August. The sunlight power will be available to meet our largest challenge - peak load demands on the hottest days."
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Solar Panels to Blanket Southern California's Commercial Roofs
This should be a good test to see how effective, reliable, and feasible a large scale solar power grid is.
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04-28-2008, 09:02 PM
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#9 (permalink)
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Orange Belt
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Chicago
Posts: 418
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BadassHo
solar doesnt work on cloudy days. better hope for some reason the weather goes bad for a month.
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wrong.
it works fine on cloudy days ... it just won't be pumping as much juice.
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04-28-2008, 09:12 PM
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#10 (permalink)
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Steel Belt
Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: TEAM AWESOME
Posts: 31,447
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There's also problems with losing massive amounts of energy over the electrical grid when you try to transport power to far...
I remember the Soviets built some huge hydro dams in Siberia, some of the biggest in the world just to show that they could, and those plants hardly generated any usable power because the electricity "escapes" from friction and other factors when it is transported great distances.
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