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Old 02-07-2012, 12:27 AM   1 links from elsewhere to this Post. Click to view. #1 (permalink)

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ryan bader at +200 decent odds?

does bader have a decent chance at beating rampage?

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Old 02-07-2012, 12:29 AM   #2 (permalink)
 
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i dont really see it - i mean, bader is a good fighter, but he needs to either get rampage down or ko him

he isnt fast like rashad (who i picked in the rampage fight) i dont see him having a good shot

i also dont think rampage w finish him - rampage w be defensive and win a decision - see the hamill fight - personal opinion only and i am dumb, so dont mind me

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Old 02-07-2012, 12:31 AM   #3 (permalink)
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no.

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Old 02-07-2012, 12:31 AM   #4 (permalink)

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I like Bader and don't care much for Rampage, but I think Rampage is a level above where Bader is at this point. Rampage is the better Boxer and even though Bader has power, Rampage's chin greatly diminishes the punchers chance aspect of this fight. Rampage's TDD looked great against Jones who has better takedowns than Bader, Rampage is a fish off his back so Bader may be able to win a decision if he can get him down consistently which I highly doubt.

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Old 02-07-2012, 12:32 AM   #5 (permalink)

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Quote:
Originally Posted by AP_RESURRECTION View Post
i dont really see it - i mean, bader is a good fighter, but he needs to either get rampage down or ko him

he isnt fast like rashad (who i picked in the rampage fight) i dont see him having a good shot

i also dont think rampage w finish him - rampage w be defensive and win a decision - see the hamill fight - personal opinion only and i am dumb, so dont mind me
Rampage landed some hard shots in the Hamill fight, some of those shots I doubt whether Bader can take.

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Old 02-07-2012, 12:32 AM   #6 (permalink)

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Rampage is the closest thing to a lock. Bet the house!!

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Old 02-07-2012, 12:33 AM   #7 (permalink)
 
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Quote:
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Rampage landed some hard shots in the Hamill fight, some of those shots I doubt whether Bader can take.
we will see, mr. house - good luck on your medical sht - i got rampage via decision

if he wins by stoppage or slampage in japan, ill piss in my pants

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Old 02-07-2012, 12:34 AM   #8 (permalink)

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I'll say he has a chance, but it's not great. Rampage has outstanding TDD and probably a striking advantage. You never know though. A small step forward in technique can open up all kinds of other things. He could surprise Rampage and control the exchanges. If we're talking putting down money though, I don't think I'd take him at those odds.

Besides, most gamblers will tell you that you shouldn't bet like that. Unless you really think the guy WILL win (not could, not more likely than the odds, but will), don't bet him.

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Old 02-07-2012, 12:39 AM   #9 (permalink)

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It's contingent largely on Rampage's cardio, but Quinton's the better striker by a healthy margin, and his TDD should be enough to keep Bader from getting him down. When all signs point to one conclusion, that's the safest bet.

I'd save my money for Chael and Anderson, because while I think Anderson will win, the opportunity for an upset in that fight is well worth fixing an otherwise super-conservative parlay around it, and maybe breaking the bank. That said, I bet Okami over Anderson because based on past fights, Okami's style matched up well. Had a $20, 8 fight parlay for $1450, and I was 7 for 7 until K1 Okami stormed into the Octagon...

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Old 02-07-2012, 12:43 AM   #10 (permalink)

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+200 is low balling. Bader should be +500, I don't think he wins this fight 10 out of 10 times.

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