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Strange, random question. But I'll bite.....
I wrestled D1, and although I can see your point, Arona's decision to abandon the takedown never stood out to me one way or the other. Being close to the ropes at the time, maybe Arona felt like he didn't have the space to drive in from where he was. Or maybe he didn't feel comfortable with the takedown at the time, foregoing the possibility of getting knee'd in the head resulting from a failed shoot.
In the UFC there are few repercussions concerning failed shoots, without worrying about leaving oneself exposed to debilitating knees to the head from the 5-point position (see Sakuraba-Arona, recall back in the day Saku single/double-leg takedowns were unmatched). Lack of knees to a downed opponents head, I believe is a big reason why pure grapplers like Randy, Hughes, Tito, Kos, etc. have games taylored to the UFC cage and rules. Thus would be a reason why a fighter like Kos can commit and follow through w/ his takedowns, as opposed to Arona.
Arona is a tremendous grappler. But his background is BJJ, unlike American fighters like Kos who has been training as a wrestler his entire life. So it is not bewildering that Arona is going to lack the foresight and technical ability as Kos in regards to his shoots.
Besides that there could also be an infinite amount of reasons why Arona did what he did. Like what was said before, only Arona can answer such a question.
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