I think it's even simpler than what the TS has.
I think Lyoto gets it with a headkick.
Thiago doesn't get frustrated then comes at you... he comes at you from the start.
Other than Wand he's the most aggressive fighter at 205 and he'll try to take the fight to Lyoto the second the bell rings.
This will be the end of him.
He came running at Antonio Mendes and
barely survived his opening head kick.
If Lyoto connects with a head kick that's going to be all she wrote.
If it merely drops Thiago then Lyoto probably gets the TKO, but on the ground is Thiago's best shot I will say that.
It's still not much of a shot