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Old 05-24-2008, 07:03 PM   #81 (permalink)

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Palhares

Yoshida

Clementi
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Old 05-24-2008, 07:04 PM   #82 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by PulaBear View Post
BJ Penn vs. Sean Sherk
Wanderlei Silva vs. Keith Jardine
Lyoto Machida vs. Tito Ortiz
You beat me to it.

Although I will say that I'm not 100% confident on the Silva/Jardine fight. Jardine sometimes shows up an entirely different fighter then I expect...I do however feel he fights best when he has nothing to lose and I think that after beating Liddell he feels more pressure to live up to that performance, so I have to go with Silva.
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Old 05-24-2008, 07:05 PM   #83 (permalink)

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You came to Sherdog for advice? 90% of users on here are morons.
Very true...
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Old 05-24-2008, 07:09 PM   #84 (permalink)

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i got sherk +200 on bodog...i really think he's gonna win..but i just bet little amounts to keep it interesting...i put 25 on sherk, 15 on jardine at +130, and 15 on machida -180.
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Old 05-24-2008, 07:13 PM   #85 (permalink)
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Ortiz looked huge in the weigh-ins , hope not just his HEAD LMAO . I wonder if Machida can stuff those takedowns of Tito .
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Old 05-24-2008, 07:13 PM   #86 (permalink)

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Palhares. I have a feeling this guy is going to be a beast.
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Old 05-24-2008, 07:18 PM   #87 (permalink)

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If I were betting on 3 guys it would be Tito, Jardine and Yoshida as they're underdogs with at least a 50% chance of winning. Since you're not interested in Tito,

Silva v Jardine = 50/50
I actually think Silva will win this one but would reccommend a bet on Jardine. Even thinking Silva will win the fight is 50/50. Silva's on a downward spiral and headed to the MW division while Jardine has recently beaten Chuck Liddell who Silva lost to and Forrest Griffin who's getting a title shot. Worries would be Jardine getting bum rushed like Alexander did him. He's lost 2 via quick KO and Silva comes out aggressive. But if Jardine can keep some distance, work his reach, he could take away Silva's aggressiveness with his legs kicks taking it to a Unanimous Decision. Jardine being such an underdog in a 50/50 fight is what makes this a good bet.

Sokodoujou v Nakamura = 50/50
Not sure who'll win this one. Nakamura is a HUGE underdog going against a guy who might be a 2 hit wonder. No doubt Soko hits hard but watch the Arona/Nog fights. I think they both last about 2 mins together. The only thing he proved in those fights was he can win against anyone with a quick KO. Houston Alexander has proved the same thing. Doesn't mean they're a star. Kazuhiro is a legit top 25 LHW with the ability to take and keep Soko on the ground. It was less than 2 years ago Soko went to a split decision with Gary Padilla. Do you know who Gary Padilla is? Most people don't for a reason.


Salavarry v Palharas = 60/40
Though I see Salaverry winning this fight just because he's the proven talent, Palharas is an untested prospect and I hear Salaverry is talking retirement. Could mean he's not at his peak.

Clementi v Etim = 65/35
Wouldn't be my first recommendation for a bet as the odds favor the guys in about the chances of them winning. If you want a more sure thing, consider Clementi.

Kim v Tan = 60/40 (1st KO)
Again if your looking for a more "for sure" bet take Kim though the odds aren't going to pay much.

Yoshida v Koppenhaver = 70/30
This would be the one I'd bet on 1st. Yoshida's become the underdog in this one because Koppenhaver had a war with J-Rock which he wasn't expected to win and barely did. That's a striking war with Rollins, a well rounded guy who's not specifically a striker. Yoshida is a striker who's been beating better fighters than Koppenhaver, Rollins and anyone either of thems ever faced. Though in a striking war like this one anything can happen this is by far my highest recommendation for a bet.

Carwin v Wellisch = 60/40
Carwin's an untested monster who's been devouring his unskilled opponents. Wellisch is his 1st proven opponent. Though not UFC talent worthy Wellisch seems to be the standard at the bottom rung of the weak UFC HW division. It's hard to say if the untested Carwin can pass the UFC minimum but with the impressive fashion he's beaten his umipressive opponents I'm thinking he's a prodigy and not another 1 shot UFC wonder.
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Old 05-24-2008, 07:27 PM   #88 (permalink)

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i think the best money would be on yoshida.koppenhaver has issues.ive watch or been to every ufc since day 1.i do very good betting on every event except crocop vs gonzaga and karo vs alves.ive won every pay per view.i follow this stuff as much as anyone can without being in it.yoshida is the best money by far.very good fight with wins over a couple good fighters with good records.thats my opinion.i also love the ortiz machida fight over 1.5 rounds if you can bet that
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Old 05-24-2008, 07:27 PM   #89 (permalink)

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I think Nakamura is a good bet because i dont think Sokoudjou will be able to finish Kaz as most of Nakamura's fights go the distance.....Nakamura has only been defeated by top guys like Machida, Shogun, and Little Nog via decision..........Nakamura was only finished twice in his career by Barnett (choke) and Wanderlei by TKO due to strikes (this was during Waderlei's peak in PRIDE with soccer kicks and stomps to head were allowed...and Kaz took a few of those).....

To sum up, I put my money on Nakamura because I think he is a tough guy who can take a lot of abuse from stikers and go the distance, (as shown in his fights with Vovchanchyn and Shogun). I aslo think he is more versed on the ground than Sokoudjou. Unless Sokoudjou can catch Nakamura with a clean shot on the button I think Nakamura has a good chance of taking a decision victory in this one. His odds at winning this fight are just way greater than the betting odds he has been given.
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Old 05-24-2008, 07:39 PM   #90 (permalink)

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Shane Carwin vs Christian Wellisch - don't bet on this one

Wilson Gouveia vs Goran Reljic - I like Gouveia on this one.Goran's main weapon is BJJ but Wilson is BJJ black belt as well and he's more well-rounded and more experienced.

Rameau Sokoudjou vs Kazuhiro Nakamura - I like Soko in this one. Soko has holes in his ground game but Kaz's finishing rate is extremely low. Soko should be able to escape Kaz's sub attempts and just over-power him to win by decision.

Rich Clementi vs Terry Etim - I like Rich in this one. better wrestling and more experienced.

Ivan Salaverry vs Rousimar Palhares - Rousimar by sub or decision. Ivan is on his downhill as he got dominated by Terry Martin and planning on retirement after this fight. By contrast, Rousimar is from BTT and on good winning streak with wins over Daniel Accacio and so for.

Jon Koppenhaver vs Yoshiyuki Yoshida - dont bet on this one. As both fighters are very good with elbows anybody can cut his opponent to win by TKO.

Dong Hyun Kim vs Jason Tan - Kim should take this one. he beat deep champ Hasegawa in their first bout, and Tan didn't look impressive in his UFC bouts.

Jardine vs Silva - Jardine by decision. I love Silva but he's on losing streak and Jardine just beat Liddell. Jardine has more tools when Silva's only chance is 1st round quick KO ala Houston Alexander. I don't think Jardine will make same mistake.
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