Quote:
Originally Posted by Zvengeance
from what i been reading by the middle-end of 2009 ps3 will have caught up to the 360 and surpass it soon after.
either way ps3 will surpass the 360 since sony plans on making it a 10 year console while MS will most likely release a new console at least a year before ps4 comes out.
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Source: Sony
A 10 year console is highly unlikely. 5 years is the usual life-cycle and there's a reason for that. We're getting close to the halfway mark for current generation consoles' life-cycle. If Sony thinks it can just sit out the next round they might as well say goodbye to their marketshare.
Let me put it this way: my PC already makes games look a lot better than a PS3. Plus I can now buy PC blu-ray drive for ~$150. When consoles are first released, they usually run games roughly as well as a high-end PC of that same period (even though they soon fall behind). Three years from now, blu ray players will be dirt cheap, GPU and CPU hardware will have progressed far and beyond what the PS3 has to offer right now. In other words, a decent PC in 2011 will make the PS3 look like an artifact. Following my above logic, Microsoft's XBox 720 or whatever will leave the PS3 in the dust. Then all that Microsoft has to do is price is reasonably well (let's say around $400-$450) and then bye-bye Sony.
10 year life-cycle my ass. I mean I can understand why Sony would say that ("This console will last you ten years! How could you not rationalize that investment?!") but it's simply won't be true. They'll do what they're doing with the PS2 now which is keep it around, release some games for it here and there but really, it's on its last legs and the only ones that still care about the PS2 are the ones that can't scrounge up enough cash to spring for a next gen console.
I'm not denying that Sony can catch up to Microsoft and Nintendo (although it's highly unlikely and nothing in the current line-up - even though it looks pretty good - suggests that it will happen). But you need to realize that these figures are pure speculation and marketing by Sony to keep investors happy and keep people interested in their product.