Quote:
Originally Posted by bruceleroy
I think that Tim can keep him away enough to minimize the upper body TD's. Although Fedor rarely goes for a leg, he may be forced into a weird scramble situation due to Tim's odd frame. Fedor is lightning fast compared to Timmy, but I just get a feeling Fedor is going to have to come with something new.
Or, Fedor could just walk out there, put Tim down, and keep him there. I don't know why, I just feel weird about this one.
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Tim doesn't have the best sprawl anyway.
Tim has good takedown defense. That doesn't mean he is impossible to take down.
Fedors takedowns are going to rely on what happens when Tim and Fedor clinch. To me, thats the biggest question of this fight. Tim has shown a really decent clinch in the past, its just overlooked because of the boring nature of that particular tactic. In his fights with Cabbage,Assuerio, Vera and Noguiera, he showed solid clinch work.
Fedors takedowns are, for the most part, of the upper body, clinch variety.
If Tim doesn't get tagged and hurt very early, which he occasionally does, thats where this fight will be fought.
People insist that Fedor getting Tim down = instant submission, but if people have watched Tims fights, he has a pretty good guard. (see Monson, and Couture, sure Tm lost badly to Couture but he did a good job avoiding most of the damage of Randy's GnP and Randy was able to do nothing riding Tims back for an entire round.) If Fedor floors him with a punch, Tims training specifically includes drills for standing after a knockdown, see the adjustment after the first Arlovski fight, where he flopped like a fish and the second where he immediately stood and KOed Arlovski.