Sprawling is pretty useless against upper body takedowns, which are initiated from a clinch position, and like you said, Fedor has only ever used 2 single-legs.
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His only weakness is that if he gets caught he will go down. Can Timmy catch him? I don't know. Fedor just doesn't have the genetic freak hard head like BJ or Rampage.
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You say that but Fedor's never been dropped, even in the Fujita fight when he took a broadsword to the head (which would have dazed ANYONE) he came to his senses quick enough to initialise a clinch and allow Fujita to take him down so he could recover.
It's not as if he hasn't faced Heavy hitters either, CroCop, Hunt even Hong Man Choi.