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Old 05-02-2008, 08:23 AM   #5 (permalink)
daniel crawley

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Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: Land of the free, home of the brave
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Quote:
Originally Posted by quickneasycat1 View Post
I live in Louisville, but don't plan on attending derby. Anyhow, Big Brown has a bad draw at 20. He's also a speed horse so he'll need to jump out to the lead to have a chance and starting in gate 20 he has a lot of ground to make up against the more favorable draws of say Pyro. With that said Big Brown has had some GREAT works, bullets and 5 and 6 furlongs at crazy speeds but I just can't bet a speed horse in the 20th gate at the Kentucky Derby. But looking at the rest of the field, I'm not finding anyone else who really stands out. Right now I'm thinking this is a good year to bet some high odds. I'm seeing a 15-1 or better winning this race. A horse like Z Fortune or Monba.
Same thing here. If Big Brown wants to hit the board he will have to get out quick because a 20 horse field will wash you out quick. I like Monba @ 14 and 15-1. I think this is todd Pletchers year to get a winning hoerse in the derby. Also Eight Belles in post 5 is a sleeper I think. It would be cool to see a Philly win it. Her last two races were amazing.
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