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The only thing Big Nog has going against him tonight is being a former Pride fighter, therefor subject to the so called "Pride curse".
There's not much INTELLIGENT conversation about why some former Pride fighters have faltered in other orgs, while others do well.
Nog certainly doesn't seem "roided", but who knows? If there is any common denominator of Pride fighters who do poorly outside of Pride is that they are less aggressive, (Cro-cop) out of shape(Shogun and maybe Gomi) and just not quite the same. Which could be caused but performance drugs.
Big Tim is no slouch. He avenged Arlovski, and has kicked everyones ass except Randy and Mir. The Mir loss was kind of a fluke, and Randy is, well Randy.
Big Tim loves that belt, and if the "Pride Nog" shows up, its going to be a war. Nog won't let Tim jab his way to a 5 round JD.
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Born to raise Hell
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