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i agree with you for the most part.
if forest wins, it will most likely be by decision in 3.
if jardine wins, it will most likely be by lucky punch
however, i think tha forest has a better chance of winning than jardine does by the exact reverse of the logic you used.
i think that shogun will come out strong and underestimate forests tenacity to stick in there (ortiz v griffen anyone?)
whereas i think that chuck will look to end the fight quickly and not give jardine any opportunity to hang in there for a decision.
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