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I think Aleksander would win this one. Unless Aleks gasses Tim would be in deep trouble. Aleks is better both standing and on the ground.
Aleks could use some fine tuning of his groundwork to be able to compete on the ground with the elite grapplers like Barnett, Nog, Werdum, ect., but Aleks was indeed able to escape submissions from Nastula and eventually choke him out. The submission wasn't silky smooth like a Nog sub, but it was legit and it wasn't like he had Nastula KOed already and just jumped on his back. It was no fluke that Aleks was able to hang with a great judoka like Nastula on the ground; he has ground skills to go with his superb striking. Aleks is a running/swimming routine and a few grappling seminars from competing with the best HWs. His future is very bright if he continues to improve and improves his conditioning and pacing.
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